Market cycle analysis and economic law

Q: How does your system differ from a cycle analysis? Martin Armstrong seems to have been very successful using cycle analysis.
A: I do not use a system over which I claim authorship. I apply the laws of economics to the facts at hand. I use the scientific method: observation to get the facts; and, logic to properly evaluate the relevance of the facts. Where there is a dominate cycle that is “controlling” a price movement, it will also play out in a manner consistent with economic law which is not repealed by cycles. I use cycle analysis as a confirming indicator. There are frequently more than one cycle to consider and sometimes more than one possible result from a cycle movement. I am of the view that applying economic law is more secure than cycle’s analysis. Nevertheless I regularly read Marin Armstrong along with David Stockman, Mark Farber and Gerald Celente. They help to clarify the application of Ludwig van Mises and Murray Rothbard.

Q: Tomorrow will be the winter solstice. Will that cycle have an effect?
A: Yes, I will be spending less time in the office. I will start looking forward to spring: the Chinese New-year, February 8, 2016.

Market Commentary (above) by Arthur Fixed

[box type=”info” style=”rounded” border=”full”]Commentary from Arthur Fixed the author of the Art of Speculation during Civil War – Sun Tzu Meets Jesse Livermore is a private manuscript copyrighted 2012 by Art Fixed.[/box]